Obviously, bad weather happening while a person is lost should also mean higher chance of them dying of exposure, but also limit the distance that the lost person can travel. Besides chemicals, one could make an argument for an uncommon EM, other type of radiation, or infrasound-based technologies, but nothing should be 100% reliable. This is why one should look into the work of people like Steph Young or various other paranormal investigators. These are mainly the German connection, the religion connection, and the military connection, or a combination of two or all three. This is a fairly strong profile point, given that there is no good explanation, conventional or otherwise, for why or how any of this should happen at all. They even mentioned a hunter explaining that some hunters follow bad weather intentionally to catch more prey. Or it could be a sign of a design artifact, like when many bad guys in our fictional worlds contain Mal in their name, or how many hero names can be abbreviated as JC. If the point was that you need to work with or study specific genetic markers, given that Germans are, ironically, one of the least genetically pure groups in the world. Which is scientifically speaking the most basic method through which to do stasis, especially if you dont care about the subject dying. How often you run into people with the same first name or surname as you is a function of how rare it is. gryff42. If those exact statistics arent available, similar ones should exist to give us an estimate. With all the insults out of the way, lets look at the profile points. Taken all together, as I will try to explain shortly, no single normal or paranormal hypothesis explains all of the cases, meaning that either multiple are at play, or a one so crazy that no one, including Dave, has even been able to conceive of it yet. The reason why amnesia always seems contrived in TV shows and movies when used more than minimally is that it is rare in real life. Especially if its only about taking advantage of naturally forming bad weather, as that would then maintain its normal, statistically insignificant rate of incidence. Remember, Occams razor does not exclude something I dont understand happened. Ignoring mind control for now (which is technically doable with advanced enough technology that we are already developing), someone who can remotely scan or edit brains can probably also stop someones heart with a more advanced version of taser. If you enjoyed it, there are several Missing 411 Books too! Granted, Elisa Lam is a rare name, so its a case of a rare name of a test that is the same as a human name, which was the same as a rare name of a person who died unusually, while the test was being used at the time and place where they died. The stories about bigfoot tend to paint them as forest protectors, who would only hurt you if you seriously piss them off or attack and corner them, while dogmen seem to be out to hunt or scare us. Thats probably why it correlates so much with cases that remain unexplained. Cherry-picking in this context would be for example assuming that Bigfoot is taking all these people, and then looking for all the cases in which the missing person seems to have been mysteriously abducted, and ONLY such cases. The available data that connects the water-related cases together (mainly the ones of students being found dead in water in some college cities) makes them somehow more inexplicable than the cases of people who got lost in a forest and were never found (cases in which all data is missing). This invokes a motivation or mentality that either has something to do with genetics or culture, or a specific grudge. After all, if there is an intelligent perpetrator behind at least some of these cases, they can be smart enough not to kidnap and kill too many people. Or at least not in any way in which we understand this type of attack to work. Again without anyone seeing the body get in. Its not crazy talk, its a genius speculation of one of the sci-fi greats. What an apt name, by the way, SADS. An animal could have sneakily killed and buried the missing person. Maybe a comparison of natural features of these places can yield interesting correlations. The most low-tech version that I can think of, some combination of taser and GHB, would clearly be inadvisable for use on children and should kill some people. It doesnt matter if you interfere from outside of the Matrix, or if youre an emergent galactic civilization that constructs solar systems and sets up and directs evolutions over aeons. Or any or all of that. If you could use portals to get in and out of them, that would help a lot, but all the technology you need is a camouflaged door. If you couple it with the fact that dogs fail (or refuse) to track the victims in most of these cases, theres some slight amusing possibility that I personally like to call dogspiracy. Like the case of Zigmund Adamski criminal activity was not ruled out, which rules it out as a Missing 411 case, but it was not ruled out precisely because there was evidence of foul play. What makes it so tough is that I dont think you can determine when it was a failure, and when there was nothing to be found. However, that leaves a number of seemingly unnecessary attributes without any apparent logic behind why they should make someone a target or more likely to get lost mysteriously. My theory regarding coincidences is that if you have a sufficiently complete knowledge, you can use it to communicate with people or steer them using coincidences (by manipulating irrelevant details of situations around them so that only they will notice that something noteworthy is going on). If you simulate a physical world and you want to interfere with it without rewriting natural laws all the time, you use any fuzziness or ambiguity within them, like chaotic probability, to essentially cheat. Anything that makes you more visible from a longer distance by default makes you an easier target for any kind of predator, animal, human, or otherwise. Documentary 2019 1 hr 37 min. Which sometimes happens in the Missing 411 cases, without any good reason. At the risk or irritating the given god. Like his idea of a probability-based engine many macroscopic physical laws are only aggregates of chaotic movements and interactions going on at the subatomic level. To me, if you get past the "oh-my-gosh-it's-horrible-what's-happening" surface feelings, folks might . The only theory other than aliens was KGB, or some sort of organized crime hit, but then it isnt clear why the agents or criminals would fail to properly dress the guy. This is a suspiciously good record. The ideal places to build bases would be at the bottom of the ocean or under beautiful sacred mountains, given that the former is still much less explored than the surface of the Moon and Mars, and that the latter is about the last place where humans would start a large-scale, invasive digging operation. If I sum it all up: This about covers what I would like to say about this subject at this moment in time. Lets approach this like a normal social scientist would approach reviewing a students thesis. Exceptionally odd circumstances surround the disappearance. The reason why to wait for that could be that it is much less suspicious for a person to disappear while out drinking at night in the city than if they just left their house for no reason in the middle of the night. This leaves a sudden medical emergency, or an animal or human attack, that either quickly render you unconscious, or force you to be quiet. This means that nothing should be taken at face value and that it may be necessary to keep our cards close to the chest not advertising our best leads or next moves, while trying to set up traps for the adversary. Best format would be an interactive table online, where all types of data could be filtered and sorted with immediate visualization. However, they may not follow that perfectly. For the profile point, it means that more weight should be given to cases where the disappearance after separation was abrupt, but also that the feeling unwell or the wildly running into a forest-type separations should be looked at separately. What I will try to do is use my social science education and research methodology expertise to try to bring some clarity into how all of the variables in these cases seem to be connected. The only way how to prove that a synchronicity (coincidence that is manipulative) is taking place, as far as I can tell, is to guess at the logic behind it and then try to predict not necessarily what specific coincidence will happen, but at least the incidence aspect that it will happen, or the time or rate at which coincidences will be happening in relation to a particular person or phenomenon. Missing 411: The Hunted. James McGrogan - Missing 411. Also, there are virtually no big predators in the Czech Republic that would kill a man. Then again, at this point, its not much more than entertaining fiction. Maybe there are more younger and older people visiting the parks in general, maybe its more of a white or specifically German cultural thing in general, maybe people with disabilities, geniuses, or athletes should be over-represented. Disappearing while forgetting your phone behind is definitely much less bizarre than disappearing while having your phone with you, and especially while using it to call for help, or while something is happening to you as you are on the phone. And yes, I also rewatched Dirk Gentlys Holistic Detective Agency, obviously. The. This clearly points to an intelligent perpetrator, and one who, inexplicably, doesnt have a very good grasp of how human clothing works. Finally, if you think about it, its important to understand that human clothing can be confusing to a highly intelligent, highly scientifically advanced species who has studied us for ages. Coincidence is how gods can circumvent rules. I have discussed the German aspect a lot with some people who understand the relevant genetics, and it appears that of all the possible ethnic groups, it wouldnt make much sense to pick Germans. The people who were disappeared while on the phone would only be different in the sense that they must have been targeted after they were already outside. Im not a physicist, chemist, or an engineer, so I cant begin to speculate about any special properties of water or granite, though electrical ones certainly dont seem to be off the table. Its important to understand that when youre working against an intelligent adversary, they will try to use your statistical reasoning against you, not doing anything too frequently, so that you brush it all off as a mere coincidence, normal chance. And thats just the first step. On the internet. In case youve never heard of this series of books written by an American ex-detective David Paulides, I believe theres eight of them at the moment, plus two documentary movies. That would be bad enough if done systematically by some sort of human agency, but the inside-out clothing indicates that it really might not involve humans, or at least not exactly us, modern-day humans (insert your favorite sci-fi modifier here). Furthermore, if I understand the abstract of the U.S. study correctly, 5% of autopsy reports in the U.S. list the cause of death as undetermined, even though the real number of undeterminable deaths is much lower than that. If anyone whos unable to travel many miles is found many miles away, especially if it is in a very short amount of time, its extremely suspicious. On the other hand, cities dont appear to be safe either, so Look, squirrel! With the emphasis on may. The U.K. study also suggests that the truly undeterminable deaths (called the sudden adult death syndrome there) can be incorrectly misdiagnosed as a different cause of death as much as two thirds of the time. The whole idea of the movie The Prestige about rival illusionists is that the most impossible magic trick is teleportation. Among these (for this case) are canine units are unable to track, a sudden weather event, disability or illness, time of disappearance, and near water. If the person was targeted at home and lured out, it is virtually certain that that person was followed beforehand. What should be done first is a comparison with the distribution of times at which people from a random non-Missing 411 sample disappear in the same areas. I will discuss this in more detail when I get to related profile points like the role of bad weather. At its core, Missing411 is the vague claim that something unusual is occurring related to deaths and disappearances in national parks. Most of this was pretty much what I expected having some idea of what David Paulides has investigated but if you have Amazon Prime and are interested, call this up and go to about about an hour and 15 minutes in and listen to the audio these guys recorded. How odd is enough? If a criminal group with the same unusual means and methods of abducting people in a forest setting is taking advantage of bad weather to kidnap and do god knows what with people in the same unusual ways, then the bad weather compromising searches should correlate more often with cases that contain other unusual elements to them than with normal cases of people going missing in a forest. At the same time, if we ignore abject cruelty, when some major injuries were identified as the cause of death, those might have been done to cover up an invasive medical procedure. The proportion of the two should be inverse. If it keeps happening again and again, what youve got is a systemic anomaly, an anomaly on which you will keep getting more data, an anomaly that you can try to predict. Especially in the one case when the phone was later found shattered into a million pieces. All 185 cases fit a narrowly defined profile that was refined after researching thousands of missing person reports; these cases are the most difficult, defy common sense, challenge conventional wisdom and remain . Overall, the cases that he selected seem to correctly rule out normal cases based on details like there not being low-enough temperatures at all, people getting undressed too quickly after disappearing (before the cold could have set in), or people traveling absurdly long distances after they removed some articles of their clothing, especially if that included shoes or boots in rough terrain. In theory, both may only be a product of sheer randomness, like number of pirates in the world inversely correlating to CO2 emissions, or they may reflect a statistical artifact caused by how the sample was selected, like unwittingly going by an ordered list. For starters, it keeps changing, on a whim, basically, so you have to constantly keep guessing how it works. And dont even get me started on synchronicity and how you absolutely would want to use systemic coincidences in order to manage a simulated (or similarly controlled) world. Or at least not any more mysteriously than provably falling off a cliff, and thats the only case I could find. Profile points that make people more likely to go missing or to not be found in general (bad weather, dogs and trackers failing to track, etc.) Thankfully, though it would explain why you would remove someones clothing, we can rule out the sexual motive, as theres no evidence that this type of attack is what the Missing 411 cases are about. Which leaves being jumped by someone or something as the most likely explanation. In this analysis, I will not be going in depth on any of the individual cases, since that is covered quite well by many different videos on this subject that you can find on YouTube, including many hours of interviews with David Paulides on various paranormal podcasts. This profile point may be one of the more normal ones, as it makes a lot of sense that if you have a dog with you and the dog for whatever reason decides to run off into the forest, you chasing after it can rather easily lead to you getting lost. Something that could be invisible and undetectable without very specific instruments, but nevertheless entirely normal and real. Then it begins to be odd. The concept of a holistic detective may be a fiction invented by Douglas Adams, but the interesting aspect of his science fiction ideas is that while crazy-sounding and hilarious, they are logically consistent and potentially realistic. When I say strange, what I mean is that, for starters, all of the usual suspects have been ruled out, like animal predation, human crime, voluntary disappearance, drowning, etc. A type of place from which Missing 411 people tend to vanish and at which they tend to appear. After that, the entities could have panicked, tried and failed to save him, did their best to dress him without his help (as normally, they would perhaps make him dress himself), and dumped him from the air to the top of the nearest pile, perhaps because of the absence of local natural peaks or mountains. This is also one of the profile points that may simply cause people not to be found, at all or in time to save the person, reversing the causality. No one anywhere has ever seen these people enter water. The only conventional explanation for reliable amnesia is when it is induced by some sort of chemical. However, if you are running some sort of medical experiment, the three most logical things to do are to get a DNA sample (ideally reproductive cells), to perform a neurological exam, and to get a stool sample, which includes the gut bacteria. Specifically, either cryptids known as dogmen, or some version of skinwalkers who can shapeshift into canine forms. This type of account would go some way toward explaining the seemingly missing failure rate of the perpetrators, as these would be the cases where the predators let the captured prey go, or when their traps, even though advanced, failed. Here I have to give credit to Seriah Azkath and the Snake Brothers, who pointed out the likely direction of causality regarding this profile point on a recent Where Did the Road Go show. David Paulides presents the haunting true stories of hunters experiencing the unexplainable in the woods of North America. In any case, since many of the missing in cities were students, maybe they were targeted at school. Which is an issue that we have already encountered with self-driving cars. The dog returning back safely also makes sense in the context of human or other intelligent predation, since when someone is interested in a particular person as a target, they dont have any obvious reason to also hurt their dog (other than to make it run into the forest as a distraction). There is at least one case in which the dog was proven to have been almost certainly fed (venison), which might indicate some perpetrator may have been more respectful of the life of the dog than that of the human target, as well as there are cases of dogs likely not having spent time in the area where they got lost, like the one dehydrated dog found in a swampland, or a number of cases of dogs being found in a surprisingly good condition. In contrast, as Dave points out, to types of people who should be much more likely to drown in cities, like the homeless, but who arent involved in a single unexplained case. The question is not so much whether someone can have or be using such technology, since the recent sonic attacks at U.S. embassies across the world prove that the capability exists. While you could come across a person randomly in the forest, it is much harder to be able to single people out, avoid being killed by our weapons (or leaving the dead to be found by us), and cover ones tracks. Not many things need to be the same for all or most unexplained cases, and they will be objective facts. Maybe some of the people who died had an allergic reaction to whatever method of incapacitation or memory wipe was used. Somebody must have done their research and observed their daily routine for some time. Especially if the body wasnt even found by dedicated searchers, but by random hikers or passersby after the search was over. Former police detective David Paulides was initially brought on to investigate the circumstances around the many mysterious disappearances - here he presents the haunting true stories of hunters experiencing the unexplainable.Missing 411: The Hunted is based on the book by Paulides, which documents 185 cases of missing peoples from four . Disorientation happened to my son and I four years ago in Germany's Teutoburg Forest. It has many of the Missing 411 hallmarks Adamski disappeared while on a walk and was last seen in the afternoon, only to turn up five days later, dead, on top of a coal pile located in a town twenty miles away. !- https://www.canammissing.com/missing-. In a normal sample of deaths, youd expect roughly 500 unexplained deaths in 500,000. But I think theres more to it than that. Similarly, as I have heard someone theorize, you may want to remove their shoes first so that they cant run away from you very easily, or maybe youd steal their clothing so that they more quickly succumb to the elements if they somehow ran away from wherever youre holding them thats presumably some kind of shelter, base, or vehicle. The reason why foul play was suspected in this case was that there were burn marks found on the body, which has happened in at least one Missing 411 urban case that Im aware of. The lack of visible damage to the bodies would in this context indicate either that the exam or procedure was neurological in nature (like an MRI scan), interrogative (interviewing the subject), or otherwise non-invasive (like a DNA swab). If you have any theories or suggestions yourselves, Im all ears. This is the fourth book in the blockbuster "Missing 411" series that describes unusual incidents of people that have disappeared in National Parks and forests of the world. Connection: Directed by David Paulides. With Daniela Salmen, John Miles, Adam Palmer, Gail Star. This means that this profile point is only interesting in combination with other data points that involve positive evidence. Not wholly impossible, but an extreme leap nonetheless. Thats roughly a bit odd to the fourth power. I do agree with Dave that it is safe to assume that places typically get named for a reason, especially if the name sounds ominous, like Devils, Demons, or Hells something or other. I certainly intend to investigate this phenomenon further, as well as a range of other things that I may write about in the future. For that reason, what you need to focus on are any exceptional, unique, or odd attributes that ideally didnt have to show up at all, or that would make someone a logical target for a predator, even if you dont fully understand what that predator is getting out of it. Occams razor therefore says foul play. I could also go on and on, but I think this is more than enough for now. The only thing you need to make sure of is that the sample of your observations is representative. Paulides has classified over 1,440 missing persons cases under the Missing411 label. People make errors. However, this only calls for a more thorough screening process for the cases to control for these possibilities. While sudden arrhythmia can account for some of the Missing 411 cases, there are just too many. But its true that on the other, more paranoid hand, if the storms are somehow being caused (or foreseen and taken advantage of) to thwart searches, them succeeding in thwarting searches is not a disqualifying factor. Its basically just as magic as teleportation. If we can already think of that, and undoubtedly would do it ourselves given the opportunity, its not crazy. Finally, the seemingly most ridiculous element of all of these stories, the stool sample, is a clear sign of organization. B) it only takes a few seconds for a well minded SAR volunteer to miss a clue. These could have involved a more invasive examination or procedure focused on the brain, and while they fortunately seem rare, especially to the extreme of cow mutilations, there are such cases. Worldbuilder, magister, change catalyst. This is one of the profile points that may have a completely mundane explanation, which could be proven. Research is how we get to know things. Given that some cases indicate third-party involvement (like the inside-out clothing, children unable to undress themselves, or clean socks while traveling miles), the latter option, however unlikely and disconcerting, must be considered. The other type of accounts shared by children indicates the existence of facilities. What I can speculate on is why any type of perpetrator would have an operational range centered around large bodies of water or rock formations, or national forests and parks for that matter. It would be easier to do in a city setting, where there are at least roads all over the place, but in that case, I would expect someone at some point seeing some of the kidnappings. But if theyre after exceptional (and therefore potentially valuable) targets, they cant hide that, or even necessarily be able to do without specific targets, however unlikely those target people are to get lost or succumb to the elements. Much like it is with Daves trust in the ability of searchers to conduct proper searches, Dave also doesnt question the ability of canines to find scent. In the Missing 411 cases, I believe that the percentage of how many causes of death are reported as unknown is far higher than 5%, while even many of the deaths that were reported as death by exposure or drowning seem to be questionable. This would also explain why it happens in only some cities you cant simply improvise it anywhere without having the infrastructure. The latter option seems especially plausible, since in none of the recorded calls were any of the victims able to relay any coherent, useful information. If these coincidences seem pedestrian or contrived to you, brace yourself. At least not in any of the cases where the person was found. Scott Schumacher Without giving much away, the first messages that you put on the screen I believe are the thread you meant to weave into this movie..so that it could "shake the tree" so to speak. Missing 411: The Hunted is a unique documentary. This one is of course extremely tragic, but that only gives you literally all of the reasons why everyone should study this. For this reason alone, this appears to be a strong profile point. Missing 411: The Hunted, movie reviews . If theres an intelligent perpetrator behind any Missing 411 disappearances, they are likely to know when to lie in wait for people at the times and dates when theres the most opportunity. The main analytical problem with using this as a profile point is that while it is a good place to start, the fact that the person wasnt found is a better indicator of which variables prevent people from being found, more than it is an indicator of why or how they got lost in the first place. This type of research is frequently used in not only social science in order to formulate hypotheses, or in this case a criminal profile. There is some possibility, given the erratic and illogical behavior of some of the people who testified to what happened to them, that either a mental breakdown, or some sort of suggestion, hypnosis, or mind control technology are to blame. Getting lost in a forest certainly can be a traumatic event, but exhaustion, dehydration, or hypothermia could account for hallucinations, skewed perception, or irrational behavior, but again, not so much for amnesia. Which brings me to a statistical issue that I think Dave got wrong. There are no stretches of known science required for someone to be able to create an underground or underwater base. Property Management Beloit Wi,
Non Voting Shares Singapore,
Articles M
missing 411: the hunted casesUncategorized
Welcome to . This is your first post. Edit or delete it, then start writing!